2021 Potential and Goals Study
2021 Potential and Goals
This page includes 2021 Potential and Goals Study as well as its related materials and data. It also includes information about activities conducted by the Commission during the process of creating the 2021 update of the Energy Efficiency Potential Goals Study. The Potential and Goals Study will inform the Commission’s next adoption of updated energy efficiency Goals, scheduled for 2021.
Resources:
- Updated Draft 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study Results and Memo - July 2021
- Draft 2021 Potential and Goals Study Report - April 2021
- 2021 Potential and Goals Interactive Results Dashboard - April 2021
- 2021 Potential and Goals Model Data (Note: users may need a non-Chrome browser for download) - April 2021
- 2021 PG Measure Input Database: A spreadsheet version of the Measure Input Characterization System documenting all final values for all rebated technologies forecast in the model.
- 2021 PG BROs Input Database: A spreadsheet version of all measure-level inputs for BROs measures.
- 2021 PG Measure Results Database (91 MB): A spreadsheet of technical, economic, and achievable potential for each measure in each sector, end use, and utility. The database also includes measure level C&S results, BROs results, and cost-effectiveness test results. Note: Recommend that you "Save" file instead of downloading due to file size.
- 2021 PG Low Income Results Viewer: A spreadsheet of technical and achievable potential for each measure by utility. The database also includes the full potential and potential limited by the low income policy and procedure manual.
- 2021 PG Model File: An Analytica-based file that contain the PG Model used to create the results of this study.
- 2021 PG Model User's Guide: Document that helps advanced users who want to open and run the PG Model file in Analytica.
- 2021 Potential and Goals Supplemental Studies:
- EE-IRP: View the 2018 Energy Division staff whitepaper on EE- IRP integration, as well as:
Upcoming Workshops:
None at this time
Past Workshops:
Energy Efficiency Top-Down Report Part 2 and Webinar
Date: Friday, April 1st, 2022
Time: 10:00am - 11:30am
Following the 2021 Potential and Goals (PG) Study, the CPUC and its consultant, Guidehouse, undertook a preliminary study on using a top-down, consumption-based approach (in contrast to the PG Study’s bottom-up, measure-based approach) to forecasting energy efficiency potential in California.
We presented Part 1 of the Top-Down Study report at a webinar on February 4, 2022. Part 1 details our approach, methodology, and results in using a top-down model.
The second report will include three possible scenarios of how to incorporate aspects of the top-down model into future PG Studies.
Energy Efficiency Top-Down Report and Webinar
Date: Friday, February 4th, 2022
Time: 10:00am - 12pm
Following the 2021 Potential and Goals (PG) Study, the CPUC and its consultant, Guidehouse, undertook a preliminary study on using a top-down, consumption-based approach (in contrast to the PG Study’s bottom-up, measure-based approach) to forecasting energy efficiency potential in California.
The first Top-Down Study report details our approach, methodology and results using a top-down model. The second report will include several possible scenarios of how to incorporate aspects of the top-down model into future PG Studies. There will be separate stakeholder webinars to discuss each report.
Draft Top-Down Potential Report 1
Webinar Presentation Slide Deck (appendix includes more detailed slides)
2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Draft Result Workshop
Date: Thursday, May 13, 2021
Time: 12:30pm - 5pm
The CPUC invites stakeholders to attend the 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Draft Results workshop, presenting the Draft 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study and related studies.
The Draft 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study was released via ruling on April 23rd. Parties to the R1311005 proceeding are invited to submit comments per instructions in the ruling.
The draft 2021 Potential and Goals Study results, as well as the 3 supplemental studies, and a dashboard to explore the results are all currently available above on this webpage.
Recording of Workshop | Recording Password: 7vHaApjU
|
Agenda Item |
Time |
|
PART 1 - Intro & Low Income
|
12:30 – 1:25 |
|
PART 2 - High level Methodology & Results
|
1:30 – 2:30 |
|
PART 3 - Key Topics Methodology & Results
|
2:30 – 4:15 |
|
PART 4 - Policy Discussion |
4:15 – 5:00 |
DAWG Meeting: 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study - Top-Down Study and Addressing COVID Update
Date: Wednesday, January 20, 2021
Time: 1:00 - 3:30pm
The meeting will be held via webinar-only. See details below:
https://cpuc.webex.com/cpuc/onstage/g.php?MTID=ee9529e83cff0169c46d869c4d602c6e2
Meeting number: 146 538 1436
Password: DAWG2021
Join by phone
+1-415-655-0002 United States Toll
Access code: 146 538 1436
Join from a video system or application
Dial 1465381436@cpuc.webex.com
You can also dial 173.243.2.68 and enter your meeting number.
Please join us for an upcoming Demand Analysis Working Group (DAWG) meeting: 2021 CPUC Efficiency Potential and Goals Study - Top-Down Study and Addressing COVID Update on January 20th, 2021 from 1:00-3:30pm.
Stakeholders will be invited to make comments or ask questions during the meeting, and there will be an opportunity for informal written comment submission after the workshop as well.
Supporting documents:
- Slides
- Top-Down Work Plan
- Meeting Recording (password: PwzAMcA8)
Agenda:
|
Time |
Topic |
|
1-2pm |
Top-down study |
|
2-2:30pm |
Addressing COVID |
|
2:30-3pm |
Reporting plans (study outputs, results data, narratives, etc.) |
|
3-3:30pm |
Open Discussion |
DAWG Meeting: 2021 Low Income Potential & Goals Study Work Plan Overview
Date: Monday, November 23, 2020
Time: 2:00 - 3:00pm
The workshop was held via webinar-only. See below for workshop information.
https://cpuc.webex.com/cpuc/j.php?MTID=m2c11f7c12f132c6ac642c03062c81406
Meeting number: 146 816 0868
Password: DAWG2021
The webinar slides are available here.
The Low Income Work plan is available here.
We will provide an overview of Low Income Potential & Goals study work plan that is designed to inform the CPUC low income proceeding. An agenda and materials will be posted here in advance of the workshop. Stakeholders will be invited to make comments or ask questions during the workshop, and there will be an opportunity for informal written comment submission after the webinar as well.
DAWG Meeting: 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study-Modeling
Date: Thursday, November 5, 2020
Time: 9:00 - 11:00am
The meeting was held via webinar. See details below:
Please join us for an upcoming Demand Analysis Working Group (DAWG) meeting: "2021 CPUC Efficiency Potential and Goals Study- Modeling" on November 5th, 2020 from 9:00am - 11:00am.
Stakeholders will be invited to make comments or ask questions during the meeting, and there will be an opportunity for informal written comment submission after the workshop as well.
Supporting documents: Presentation
Agenda:
|
Time |
Topic |
|
9:00-9:15am |
Introduction |
|
9:15-9:40am |
Approach to calibrations |
|
9:40-9:50am |
Approach to scenarios |
|
9:40-9:55am |
Relating scenarios to IRP |
| 5 min break | |
9:55-10:20am |
Scenario Variables |
|
10:20-10:50pm |
Relating Scenarios to IRP |
|
10:50-11:00am |
Discussion |
DAWG Meeting: 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study-Modeling
Date: Thursday, October 8, 2020
Time: 2:00 - 5:00pm
The meeting was held via webinar-only. See details below:
Please click on the line below to join the meeting:
https://energy.zoom.us/j/93603186499?pwd=VWtmbGtwZHF6ZWRKWmc0YjZJN3VKZz09
Password: 706109
Or iPhone one-tap:
US: 6699006833,,93603186499# or 13462487799,, 93603186499#
Or Telephone:
Dial:
US: 669 900 6833 or 346 248 7799 or 877 853 5257 (Toll Free)
Webinar ID: 936 0318 6499
International numbers available: https://energy.zoom.us/u/aZHbQ9sCX
Supporting documents: Presentation
2021 CPUC Efficiency Potential and Goals Study-Measure Characterization and Data Collection Studies
Date: Tuesday, June 2, 2020
Time: 10:30am-1:00pm
Hosted via webinar only: https://energy.zoom.us/j/94616656007?pwd=L2hWV0ZxN0ZDSWpoRmlCUlZVOC9oUT09
Password: dawg@10
Please join the Demand Analysis Working Group (DAWG) for an upcoming webinar: "2021 CPUC Efficiency Potential and Goals Study-Measure Characterization and Data Collection Studies" on June 2, 2020 from 10:30am-1:00pm. As with previous CPUC Potential and Goals studies, this meeting will be an opportunity to explore further technical stakeholder engagement, including but not limited to methods and data. An agenda and materials will be posted in advance of the webinar workshop to the https://www.energy.ca.gov/dawg. Stakeholders will be invited to make comments or ask questions during the meeting, and there will be an opportunity for informal written comment submission after the workshop as well. During the meeting, CPUC Energy Division Staff and consultants will discuss and solicit feedback on the following:
- Measure characterization, including for fuel substitution measures
- Planned data collection studies including:
- Industrial/ag subsector market study
- Study of residential/commercial customer adoption characteristics
Supporting documents: Final Detailed Work Plan for Ind and Ag Market Studies and CPUC Adoption Study Research Plan and Presentation
Link to Meeting Recording: Access Password: 6t+533#o
Agenda:
10:30-10:40 -- Introduction
10:40-11:20 -- Measure Characterization
11:20-11:40 -- Q&A/Discussion
11:40-11:45 -- 5 minute break
11:45-12:05 -- Market Adoption Study
12:05-12:15 -- Q&A/Discussion
12:15-12:35 -- Industrial/Agricultural Characterization
12:35-12:45 -- Q&A/Discussion
For more information:
https://www.energy.ca.gov/event/webinar/2020-06/2021-cpuc-efficiency-potentials-and-goal-study-measure-characterization-and
(If link above doesn't work, please copy entire link into your web browser's URL)
2021 Potential and Goals Study Kickoff
Date: Thursday, April 16, 2020
Time: 9:00am-12:30pm
Hosted via webinar only: https://cpuc.webex.com/cpuc/j.php?MTID=m5b918c2601763a58b9ef0148f97e525b
Meeting number: 966 544 627
Meeting password: djsUJrXr366
04/16/20 Workshop - 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study Kickoff
The workshop was be held from 9:00am - 12:30pm. We will provide an overview of plans for the 2021 Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study, and Guidehouse will present the Study's workplan. Stakeholders will be invited to make comments or ask questions during the workshop, and there will be an opportunity for informal written comment submission after the workshop as well. Supporting documents: PG Study Workplan, Workshop slides with questions for stakeholders and Response to the Study Comments
The workshop will be held via webinar-only. See below for workshop information.
Agenda:
9:00-10:00 -- Introductions and Overview of Group E Scope
10:00-10:45 -- Input Data - Market and Measure Characterization
10:50-11:30 -- Methodology Discussion
11:30-11:45 -- Potential and Goals Study Addititional Analysis
11:45-11:55 -- EE-DR and IRP integration
11:55-12:00 -- Reminders and Next Steps
12:00-12:30 -- Q&A and Open Discussion
10/30/19-10/31/19 Potential and Goals Kickoff Workshop - Approaches for Assessing Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals.
The October 30-31 workshop was an initial opportunity for stakeholders to provide feedback on several topics for the next round of the Energy Efficiency Potential and Goals Study, due to be completed in 2021. (Further opportunities for feedback will be provided post-workshop and during the study scoping and development.) Supporting documents: Agenda, workshop topic abstracts, and post-workshop informal comments
Highlights:
- Day 1 (Wednesday, October 30) discussed technical and methodological approaches to assess EE Potential in several areas including: EE-DR, the industrial/agricultural sector, locational modeling & REN/CCA considerations, fuel substitution, and statewide / 3rd party programs.
- Day 2 included a panel discussion on the evolving energy efficiency portfolio, led by Commissioner Liane Randolph, followed by a session on IRP integration methods, and a discussion of new ideas for assessing technical and market potential.